Rising electricity prices in the coming years will she "modest," as stated by the Government? Nothing is less certain. Especially if the state relies on the Champsaur report to determine the selling price of nuclear energy for EDF to its competitors, under the law on reorganization of the electricity market.
In the conclusions of this report – that Le Figaro was bought – "the average price of Arenh (restricted to nuclear power history) over the period of regulation could out to about 39 euros per megawatt hour (MWh) .
This figure is substantially lower than the threshold advocated by EDF, which estimates that 42 euros per MWh the full cost of nuclear power (operation, maintenance, future investments …).But it is also well above the starting price desired by EDF's competitors, who point out that current tariffs are regulated on the basis of 35 euros per MWh. Anyway, to 39 euros per MWh as stipulated in the Champsaur report, the convergence required by law in 2015 between regulated tariffs and prices Arenh will result in a significant rise in the former."In a context where all components of cost of supplying electricity are up, the constraints of evolution of the price system (…) are extremely strong," the report notes.
Although several hypotheses can be considered according to the weight of taxes and the rate of inflation, but increase the rates regulated by 2015 could average 6.5% per year as the underlying report.
The impact of Fukushima
Suffice to say that politically, the application of such a law might be scolded consumers. Hence the long wait before the final decisions of the government.
Still in its conclusions, the Champsaur report notes that "tests were made before the serious problems that have affected nuclear power plants in Fukushima.And to emphasize that the results of the audit of central French government decision "should be taken into account in calculations of electricity generated by nuclear power history." For EDF, this is no doubt this will generate additional costs for maintenance of the park, which should therefore be reflected in the price of Arenh.
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