Germany: the crisis in the euro area beating down the federal deficit
The debt crisis in the euro area beating down the deficit from Germany. The federal government adopted on Wednesday a draft 2012 budget amended to reflect the contribution of Berlin – higher than expected this year – the mechanisms of European aid. The finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, predicts an acceleration of rigorous efforts from 2013, to meet the requirements set by the golden rule in 2014.
The fiscal deficit of the federal government is expected this year to 34.8 billion euros, which is double last year (17.3 billion), according to the text presented by the Minister of Finance. The initial project approved last year a targeted deficit of around 26 billion euros. Meanwhile, European leaders have decided to enter into force one year earlier than originally scheduled European MY rescue mechanism, and to make advance payment of their contribution to the capital of it.
Berlin will pay 8.7 billion euros this year for its stake in the MES. The total share of Germany in the capital of the MES will be 22 billion paid in several tranches, while guarantees for the German SS totaled 211 billion euros. And Germany is under pressure to increase the volume of rescue mechanisms.
"Abnormal"
The year 2012 is "an anomaly" in the politics of deficit reduction from Germany, Schäuble said, stressing the country's commitment to pursue "a policy of fiscal consolidation pro-growth".
In 2013, Berlin provides an increase in tax revenue (256.5 billion against 249.7 billion in 2012), which will remain insufficient to establish a balanced budget. The federal deficit is likely to decline to 19.6 billion euros, thanks to a reduction in spending a little stronger than expected 3.8%, and reach one billion in 2016, an unprecedented record low since 1969.
Schäuble announced that Germany will follow in 2014 – two years ahead of the rule set by the Basic Law in 2009 – the debt ceiling. This "golden rule" enshrined in the new European pact imposes a limit of 0.35% of GDP in structural federal deficit.
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