Uncertainty hangs over Areva Exchange
For its IPO on Monday, Areva action which replaces the old certificate-investment has been severely shaken. The title of the nuclear expert accused earlier this afternoon, down more than 4%, to 29 euros, the biggest drop in the SBF 120 index, meanwhile almost stable. For specialists, the accumulation of uncertainty about the future of the group were able to sow doubt among investors.
First, all mention the decision by Berlin on Sunday to slam the door to the atom by 2022. "It had to play it safe because of the coup Areva will lose contracts related to maintenance of these plants, which constitutes a significant windfall," says an analyst. However, it considers the reaction of markets as "bizarre" that "unlikely", since the German decision "has been widely anticipated.""We could not expect anything else!" He says.
For Joffrey Ouafqa, manager at Convictions Asset Management, the fall of Title indicates that investors are concerned above all "a contagion to other European countries", in a context of mistrust of the atom after the catastrophe of Fukushima. I must say that last week, Switzerland has also set its output of nuclear horizon 2034. Besides Italy, which plans to relaunch the atom early in the year, has also backtracked. Last Tuesday, the government of Silvio Berlusconi has won the confidence in Parliament on a gel for a year or two atomic projects.
"A political decision"
Trying to stem the "contagion," Anne Lauvergeon blasted the German position on Monday on BFM Radio. For the president of Areva, then it is a "completely political decision" taken "without référundum or appeal to what the public thought."Prior to project, betting on "a specific German reaction": "By 2022, it can take a lot of things …" Even if the German environment minister, Norbert Röttgen, continues to insist on " irreversibility "of the measure.
Other events that have affected the course of Areva's announcement on Monday, delays of six to nine months for construction projects of nuclear reactors. According to Anne Lauvergeon, these mishaps are due to work safety authorities, decided after the earthquake and tsunami of March 11 in Japan. But again, "these delays were expected, and were integrated for a long time," said, puzzled, our analyst.
Moreover, investors expect certainly to know more about long-term goals of the group, swept the Japanese after the incident.According to Anne Lauvergeon, "new guidelines" will be unveiled soon, even if the specialist of the atom "does not significantly change [his] workload." For now, Areva has not yet given up flow 45 EPR, its latest generation of reactors by 2020.
What about the renewal of Anne Lauvergeon?
Such "guidance" to come, experts expect most to know more about the group's activities in India. "That's what is most worrying, our expert judge, because these contracts weigh up to 5 billion euros." According to him, nothing is likely to be signed this year in the current context: "it will probably wait until next year, "he walks.
Finally, the last unknown area of governance of the public group owned 97% by the state. In fact, the second term of Anne Lauvergeon expires end of June.And it is up to President Nicolas Sarkozy to decide soon on renewal or replacement. Enough to make life difficult for investors.